Better Farming
December 2016
The Business of
Ontario Agriculture
39
advisers, government ministries, etc.,
to help you to determine your cost of
production. You need to understand
your costs before you determine the
price at which you’ll sell your crops.
Commodity marketing involves
great discipline. Based on the trends
and analysis you review for the crop
year, decide at what price you will
pre-sell. This decision should be
made in January. Then, when the crop
reaches that price later in the growing
season, enter into an agreement
– even if the trend shows the price
may continue to rise.
“A number of people play the ‘what
if ’ game,” says Maurizio “Moe”
Agostino, chief commodity strategist
with Farms.com Risk Management.
“They wait because they cannot
commit to a price in case it keeps on
going up, but then when the price
falls it’s too late and they can’t pre-sell
at a great price. Marketing is more of
an art than a science, but if you are
disciplined and stick to your pre-
defined plan, you will likely succeed.”
The best strategy may be to get
into commodity marketing slowly,
and to be disciplined about it. In the
first year, perhaps experiment by only
pre-selling 25 per cent of your crop.
The following year, if all goes well and
you are more confident, try 50 per
cent. Depending on your ability to
handle stress, perhaps you never
pre-sell more than 50 per cent – and
that’s okay. If you make five per cent
more on 50 per cent of your harvest,
it is likely worth your efforts.
Make 2017 the year to conquer
your marketing fears!
BF
Glossary of common commodity marketing terms
Basis:
the difference between the
cash price of a commodity and the
price of the nearest futures contract
(the contract which is next to
expire).
Cash – futures = basis.
Bear market or bearish:
a market
where prices are trending down-
ward.
Bull market or bullish:
a market
where prices are trending upward.
Forward Contract:
agreement to
deliver a certain amount of com-
modity at a certain date for an
agreed-upon price; each contract is
unique and specific to both sides
involved.
Futures (Contract):
a contract or
contracts covering the sale of a
commodity at a future date and
agreed-upon price. A futures
contract usually outlines the
quality and quantity of the crop,
as well as the delivery time and
place.
Futures contracts are similar to
forward contracts, except the former
are more standardized – with the
same date and quantity for every-
one.
Hedge:
using different financial
transactions to reduce (hedge) a
farmer’s risk. A hedge may be the
use of a forward contract, futures
contract, etc.
Margin:
cash posted by a farmer as
a guarantee of fulfillment of a
futures contract. (It is not a down
payment.)
If this article has helped you begin
to conquer your fears and you want
to take the next step, visit www.
farms.com/market-school to watch
educational videos on commodity
marketing.
BF
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