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Better Farming

November 2016

FarmNews First >

BetterFarming.com

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THE

HILL

National farmdebt levels

Statistics Canada has released data on the 2015 farm debt levels and the Canada West Foundation is

raising concerns about the implications of these figures.

by BARRY WILSON

E

ven for veteran agriculture

watchers, this year’s Statistics

Canada tally of 2015 farm debt

levels was (pick your cliché) eye-pop-

ping, jaw-dropping or just plain

amazing.

After 23 years of annual debt

increases since 1993 that had more

than tripled national farm debt levels

from $23 billion to $84.5 billion in

2014, Canadian farmers piled on

another $7.3 billion in debt in 2015 to

reach $91.8 billion.

It was an 8.6 per cent increase in

the level of debt, the highest one-year

increase in history.

A few years ago when debt was

billions of dollars lower, George

Brinkman, distinguished University

of Guelph professor and agricultural

economist (emeritus), called it a

“ticking time bomb” because:

An end to a long run of record-

low interest rates would make the

debt much more difficult and

expensive to service;

A decline in commodity prices

or several years of climate-related

crop failure would push many

indebted farmers to the brink,

since debt servicing comes from

cash flow rather than asset value;

and

American producers tend

to have lower average debt levels

and therefore less exposure and a

lower cost of production, so they

typically have a competitive

advantage in markets where

Canadian and U.S. agricultural

products compete.

Still, rising farm debt levels have

not been the subject of major focus in

farm sector politics or mainstream

Sarah Pittman